2020
Author(s): Belotti JT, Castanho DS, Araujo LN, DaSilva LV, Alves TA, Tadano YS, Stevan SL, Jr Corra_a FC, Siqueira HV
Studies in air pollution epidemiology are of paramount importance in diagnosing and improve life quality. To explore new methods or modify existing ones is critical to obtain better results. Most air pollution epidemiology studies use the Generalized Linear Model, especially the default version of R, Splus, SAS, and Stata software, which use maximum likelihood estimators in parameter optimization. Also, a smooth time function (usually splines) is generally used as a pre-processing step to consider seasonal and long-term tendencies. This investigation introduces a new approach to GLM, proposing the estimation of the free coefficients through bio-inspired metaheuristics - Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Genetic Algorithms, and Differential Evolution, as well as the replacement of the spline functions by a simple normalization procedure. The considered case studies comprise three important cities of SÌ_o Paulo state, Brazil with distinct characteristics: SÌ_o Paulo, Campinas, and CubatÌ_o. We considered the impact of particles with an aerodynamic diameter less than 10 _m (PM(10)), ambient temperature, and relative humidity in the number of hospital admissions for respiratory diseases (ICD-10, J00 to J99). The results showed that the new approach (especially PSO) brings performance gains compared to the default version of statistical software like R.
Journal: Environmental Research