2016

Author(s): Oliveira CR, Costa GS, Paploski IA, Kikuti M, Kasper AM, Silva MM, Tavares AS, Cruz JS, Queiroz TL, Lima HC, Calcagno J, Reis MG, Weinberger DM, Shapiro ED, Ko AI, Ribeiro GS

BACKGROUND: Our understanding of the epidemiology of influenza is limited in tropical regions, which in turn has hampered identifying optimal region-specific policy to diminish disease burden. Influenza-like illness (ILI) is a clinical diagnosis that can be used as a surrogate for influenza. This study aimed to define the incidence and seasonality of ILI and to assess its association with climatic variables and school calendar in an urban community in the tropical region of Salvador, Brazil. METHODS: Between 2009 and 2013, we conducted enhanced community-based surveillance for acute febrile illnesses (AFI) among patients >/= 5 years of age in a slum community emergency unit in Salvador, Brazil. ILI was defined as a measured temperature of >/= 37.8 degrees C or reported fever in a patient with cough or sore throat for 19 year olds. No association was seen between ILI and precipitation, relative humidity or temperature. There was a significant association between the incidence of ILI in children 5-9 years of age and number of scheduled school days per month. CONCLUSIONS: We identified a significant burden of ILI with distinct seasonality in the Brazilian tropics and highest rates among young school-age children. Seasonal peaks of ILI in children 5-9 years of age were positively associated with the number of school days, indicating that children may play a role in the timing of seasonal influenza transmission.

DOI: 10.1186/s12879-016-1456-8
Journal: BMC Infectious Diseases