Globally from 1960 to 2020, 724 recorded droughts affected 2.7 billion people and resulted in 2.2 million deaths and US$ 182 billion in economic damage.6 6EM-DAT
Globally, over two billion people live in countries that experience high water stress, and about 4 billion people (around half of the world population) experience severe water scarcity during at least one month of the year. 1 1UN World Water Development Report 2019: Leaving No One Behind
Drought and land degradation can exacerbate health inequalities in poor or marginalized communities. In rural agriculture-dependent areas, it can exacerbate food insecurity and lead to forced migration, violence and conflict; cause social instability and impact physical and mental health.2 2The State of Food and Agriculture 2018. Migration, agriculture and rural development. FAO, 2018
Drought also severely impacts a variety of sectors linked to health, including agriculture, air quality, economy, energy, and the environment, and compromise a wide range of ecosystem goods and services. Health systems can be affected by water shortages or contamination, increasing risks to the populations that depend on their services. 3 3Extreme events as sources of health vulnerability: Drought as an example. Ebi and Bowen, 2016
(1) Prolonged absence or marked deficiency of precipitation. (2) Period of abnormally dry weather sufficiently prolonged for the lack of precipitation to cause a serious hydrological imbalance.4 4World Meteorological Organization (WMO), 1992: International Meteorological Vocabulary (WMO – No. 182). Geneva, World Meteorological Organization
(3) A naturally occurring phenomenon that exists when precipitation has been significantly below normal recorded levels, causing serious hydrological imbalances that adversely affect land resource production systems. 5 5UNCCD
Globally from 1960 to 2020, 724 recorded droughts affected 2.7 billion people and resulted in 2.2 million deaths and US$ 182 billion in economic damage.6 6EM-DAT
By 2025, 1.8 billion people will experience absolute water scarcity, and 2/3 of the world will be living under water-stressed conditions driven by drought, climate change and increases in water use.7 7UNCCD: Land and Drought
In 2023, 48% of the global land area was affected by at least one month of extreme drought – the second-highest level since 1951. 8 82024 Report of the Lancet Countdown
Drought can occur over large geographical areas and impact multiple populations. Its impacts on health are closely associated with socioeconomic factors that reduce the resilience of the population. 9 9Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. Stanke et al. 2013
Africa is affected by drought more than any other continent, and is where the majority of drought-related deaths occur. 10 10The human cost of weather related disasters: 1995-2015. CRED/UNISDR, 2015
Notable impacts on health and wellbeing are felt particularly in the following regions and countries:
The health impacts of drought are primarily indirect – meaning they are linked to other circumstances, such as loss of livelihoods.19 192021 GAR SRD; Stanke et al., 2013; Sena et al., 2014; Yusa et al., 2015; Ebi and Bowen, 2016
Drought-driven water and food shortages increase the risk of death and illness, especially for already vulnerable populations. Drought can cause or exacerbate health risks including malnutrition, infectious diseases, non-communicable diseases, and mental health conditions.
The primary mechanism by which drought impacts human health is by disrupting water supply to communities. This disruption can affect the availability of water for agricultural purposes, hygiene and sanitation, and lead to alternative water storage practices that can create favourable conditions for the proliferation of infectious vector-borne diseases.
Nutrition-related health effects result from the disruption of agricultural production, which decreases the availability of food and can result in malnutrition, micronutrient deficiencies, and anti-nutrient consumption. 20 20Managing the health impacts of drought in Brazil. Sena et al., 2014; Extreme events as sources of health vulnerability: Drought as an example. Ebi & Bowen 2015; Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. Stanke et al. 2013; WHO / WMO Atlas of Health and Climate, 2012 Drought is considered the most serious climate hazard to livestock and crops in nearly every part of the world.
Water-related health effects result from the contamination of water supplies, and from lack of access to water, sanitation and hygiene. Water can become contaminated through low water flows that cause stagnation and reduce dilution capacity, higher temperatures that encourage pathogen growth, and saltwater intrusion into coastal aquifers. Increased concentration of pollutants occur when conditions are drier, and this can be of concern for groundwater sources that are already of low quality. Lack of water quality and quantity can lead to several infectious diseases such as intestinal nematode diseases, diarrhoeal diseases, hepatitis A, eye infections (e.g. conjunctivitis, trachoma), skin infections (e.g. scabies), and also dehydration. In addition, water scarcity indirectly impacts cardiovascular and mental health. 21 21Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. Stanke et al. 2013; Managing the health impacts of drought in Brazil. Sena et al., 2014; Extreme events as sources of health vulnerability: Drought as an example. Ebi & Bowen, 2015; Drought in the Semiarid Region of Brazil: Exposure, Vulnerabilities and Health Impacts from the Perspectives of Local Actors. Sena et al. 2018
Airborne and dust-related diseases can be exacerbated by drought when pathogens and persistent organic pollutants are transported by mineral dust. High temperatures associated with drought can lead to excessive soil and vegetation drying, increasing the mobilisation of these dusts and causing irritation to the lungs and bronchial passages. Inhalation of particles can cause direct trauma or diseases such as cardiovascular disease, and exacerbate existing conditions such as asthma. Dry seasons coupled with low humidity and air-borne dust concentrations can increase risk for meningococcal meningitis. Hazardous air dust particles also include fine mineral particulates, pollutants, spores, fungi, bacteria and potential allergens. For example, mineral dust can cause liver and kidney cancer, affect cardiovascular and respiratory health, and cause renal failure; while fungal spores can cause coccidioidomycosis (Valley fever). 22 22Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. Stanke et al. 2013; WHO Factsheet: Meningococcal Meningitis; Desert dust and human health disorders. Goudie A.S. 2014; Land under pressure – health under stress. Sena, 2019; Global Health Impacts of Dust Storms: A Systematic Review, Aghababaeian et al 2021
Vector-borne diseases are influenced by drought when the behaviours of insect vectors, such as mosquitoes and sandflies are changed. 23 23US CDC Drought Communication Toolkit: Information for Vulnerable Populations Drought conditions may also encourage residential water storage, which can increase the number of breeding sites for mosquito species that transmit malaria, dengue and other vector-borne diseases. 24 24Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. Stanke et al. 2013
Mental Health: Drought can have a severe impact on mental health by placing affected populations under economic and financial stress. 25 25Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. Stanke et al. 2013; Climate change and mental health: A causal pathways framework.Berry et al. 2010 Other risks for mental health conditions are linked to stress regarding family subsistence, uncertainty, and forced migration, including family separation, identity loss and social exclusion. 26 26The Mental Health Outcomes of Drought: A Systematic Review and Causal Process Diagram. Vins, Bell, Saha and Hess, 2015; Drought-related stress among farmers: findings from the Australian Rural Mental Health Study. Austin et al. 2018
Migration can lead to increased crowding among displaced populations, leading to exposure to new pathogens and spread of diseases such as meningococcal meningitis. Displaced people can also experience changes in hygiene practices, leading to other infectious diseases. Changes to family structure and dynamics can also lead to mental stress. Most migration associated with drought is from rural to urban areas and is related to poverty, food insecurity, social vulnerability, unemployment, or low income. 27 27Climate change, drought and human health in Canada. Yusa, Berry, Cheng, Ogden et al. 2015; The Global Land Outlook, first edition. UNCCD 2017b; The State of Food and Agriculture 2018. Migration, agriculture and rural development. FAO, 2018
Rising temperatures caused by climate change are making already dry regions drier, and wet regions wetter. In dry regions, this means that when temperatures rise, water evaporates more quickly, and increases the risk of drought or prolongs periods of drought. 30 30WHO: Drought
Increasing temperatures and changes to weather patterns around the world as a result of climate change are likely to create heightened water stress, increasing the risk and exposure to drought events. Southern Europe and West Africa have observed a lengthening of droughts and an increase in intensity since the 1950s. 31 31Health effects of drought: a systematic review of the evidence. Stanke et al. 2013
Ongoing effects of climate change are likely to increase the frequency and severity of future droughts, and also have significant human health consequences. 32 32Drought under global warming: A review. Dai, 2011; Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America. Schwalm et al. 2012. Water supplies will be put under greater stress and higher temperatures will increase water demands and evaporatoration. This will reduce both the quantity and quality of food, as well as threatening crop productivity in areas that are already food insecure. 33 33Historical warnings of future food insecurity with unprecedented seasonal heat. Battisti & Naylor, 2009 Global reductions in food security are expected to have a substantial impact on undernutrition, increasing the prevalence of stunting and wasting in children.
Responses to droughts in most parts of the world are generally reactive in terms of crisis management, but the effects of drought can be preventable. The health impacts of drought can be managed in a number of ways, including the following:
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