The CariCOF Temperature Outlook is a map detailing minimum, mean and maximum temperature forecasts across the region for three-month periods. It provides a first warning on pending impactful temperature deviations from the usual situation for a given season. Each category is, historically speaking, equally likely (33%). Forecast probabilities for each category then show forecast likelihoods of temperature averages being below-normal, near-normal (“usual”) or above-normal.

The Outlook features consensus information based on a combination of objective global and regional climate model inputs and local/regional climate expertise.