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Mental Health Effects due to the Double burden of COVID-19 and Extreme Heat and Drought in Afghanistan

Effects of water qualities of Kabul river on health, agriculture and aquatic life under changing climate

The anthropogenic activities if not sensibly managed put enormous pressure on water resources of any country. Water quality of Kabul River has severely been polluted by rapid urbanization and industrialization. The sub lethal organic pollution is caused by discharge of effluents and other wastes into the river. The effluents from multiple leather processing units, and various other industries along with human feces and livestock manure are polluting the river ecology at an alarming rate. Climate is further impacting the quality of river and diminutive work has been done on climate change impacts on water quality. Integrated efforts are required to improve the water quality to reduce the morbidity and mortality rate in Pakistan and Afghanistan. In this review, water quality situation of Kabul River in Pakistan and Afghanistan along with potential impacts on health, agriculture and aquatic life under the changing climate scenario are presented. Water quality indices and modelling approaches for different parameters are suggested under the changing climate scenario which is expected to increase in the region to find the fate and transport of pollutants in the Kabul Rivers basin. Finally, recommendations were made to improve water quality of Kabul River and to decrease its adverse impacts.

Floods, food security, and coping strategies: Evidence from Afghanistan

In this paper, we assess the long-term effect of floods on food security (as measured by calorie and micronutrient consumption) by applying an instrumental variable approach to data from the Afghanistan National Risk and Vulnerability Assessment survey. To identify the determinants of this effect, we also estimate how floods affect per capita yearly household income and poverty status. We find that exposure to flooding during a 12-month period decreased daily calorie consumption by approximately 60 kcal while increasing the probability of iron, vitamin A, and vitamin C deficiency by 11, 12, and 27 percentage points, respectively. Controlling for price shocks and income only marginally reduces this flood effect on food security, suggesting that impaired livelihoods (rather than price hikes) are its primary driver. We further determine that exposure to this natural disaster decreases income by about 3% and makes flood-affected households about 3 percentage points more likely to be poor. Lastly, we show that experience of floods is strongly and significantly associated with lower diet quality and quantity, and with engaging in consumption smoothing coping strategies, such as buying food on credit and taking loans. These findings underscore the serious direct impact of floods on both diet and effective behavioral responses to such shocks while emphasizing the need for targeted micronutrient supplementation in disaster relief and food aid measures even after the period of natural disaster emergency.

Factors influencing injury or death due to traumatic events in Afghanistan’s crisis-affected populations: A cross-sectional nationwide study

OBJECTIVE: Afghanistan, with one of the world’s largest refugee populations, suffers an enormous burden of injury resulting in loss of life. This study aims to identify the epidemiology of injuries or death in the crisis-affected populations across Afghanistan and to investigate factors associated with injuries or deaths due to traumatic events. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: This study analysed Whole Afghanistan Assessment 2019 data. This survey geographically covered all 34 accessible provinces in Afghanistan. PARTICIPANTS: 31 343 displaced and shock-affected households in Afghanistan. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Injury or death of household members due to traumatic events. RESULTS: 2561 (8.2%) reported at least one household member had been injured or deceased because of a significant conflict or natural disaster in the past year. Households experienced significant events such as active conflict or violence (prevalence ratio, PR=5.575, p<0.001), earthquake (PR=3.118, p=0.004), flood (PR=1.534, p=0.008) and avalanche or heavy snowfall (PR=3.450, p<0.001) were significantly associated with injury or death. The likelihood of injury or death was significantly higher for long-distance households than for households living within a 5 km radius of the nearest healthcare facilities (6-10 km: PR=1.402, p=0.030; >10 km: PR=1.560, p=0.020). CONCLUSION: The study provides an epidemiological profile of injuries or death in crisis-affected populations across Afghanistan. Results also suggest that certain factors place the crisis-affected populations in Afghanistan at high risk for injuries or death, which can inform the development of surveillance and prevention programmes, the monitoring of patterns over time and the formulation of healthcare policies.

Human Climate Horizons (HCH)

Exploring community resilience and early warning solution for flash floods, debris flow and landslides in conflict prone villages of Badakhshan, Afghanistan

Effects of time-lagged meteorological variables on attributable risk of leishmaniasis in central region of Afghanistan

Diarrhea patterns and climate: A spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical analysis of diarrheal disease in Afghanistan

The effect of floods on anemia among reproductive age women in Afghanistan

Farmers’ perceptions of and adaptations to drought in Herat Province, Afghanistan

Spatially correlated time series and ecological niche analysis of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Afghanistan

Time series analysis of malaria in Afghanistan: Using ARIMA models to predict future trends in incidence

Flash Flood Guidance System with Global Coverage (FFGS)