Air pollution is one of the most challenging global sustainability problems in the world. Roughly 90% of global citizens live in areas that exceed the acceptable air pollution levels according to the World Health Organization air quality guidelines. However, socially disadvantaged groups are disproportionately located in areas exposed to higher levels of air pollution. Understanding the association between risk exposure to air pollutants and the underlying socio-economic factors determining risk is central for sustainable urban planning. The purpose of this study was to explore environmental inequalities in Mexico City, specifically the spatial association between air pollutants and socioeconomic status (SES) indicators. We propose that SES indicators will be expected to spatially cluster vulnerable individuals and groups into heavily polluted areas. To test this hypothesis, we used 2017-2019 data from governmental records to perform spatial interpolations to explore the spatial distribution of criteria pollutants. We carried out spatial autocorrelations of air pollutants and SES indicators using the bivariate Moran’s I index. Our findings provide strong evidence of spatial heterogeneity in air pollution exposure in Mexico City. We found that socially deprived areas located in the southern periphery of Mexico City were exposed to higher ozone concentrations. On the contrary, wealthiest areas concentrated in the city center were exposed to greater concentrations of nitrogen dioxide and carbon monoxide. Our findings highlight the need for policy-driven approaches that take into consideration not only the geographic variability and meteorological dynamics associated with air pollution exposure, but also the management of socioeconomic risk factors aimed at reducing disparate exposure to air pollution and potential health impacts.
The urban heat island (UHI) is mostly due to urbanization. This phenomenon in concert with the high temperatures caused by global climate change may profoundly affect human thermal comfort, which can influence human productivity and morbidity especially in spring/summer period. The main objective of this investigation was to determine changes in degree of thermal comfort of Mexico City’s inhabitants and compare it with the physiological equivalent temperature (PET) to evaluate whether PET and its categorization are adequate to be applied in Mexico City. A series of microclimatological measurements to estimate PET were made at four sites including the city’s center. Concomitantly, a series of surveys of thermal perception were applied to 1300 passersby. The results show that PET has increased from 1990 to 2020 from 0.1208 degrees C/year to 0.1498 degrees C/year in the study sites, in addition to overestimating the degree of thermal comfort of people according to the stablished categories or classes. It is concluded that it is necessary to adjust thermal stress categories. Knowing the percentages of people without thermal comfort will lead us to determine different ranges in environmental parameters to define an acceptable environment for most people.
Intracranial aneurysms are considered acquired lesions, occur with an incidence of 3-5% in general population. Subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) due to ruptured aneurysms represents 85 of all spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhages and this represents 15% of all cerebral vascular events. Risk factors for aneurysmal rupture are age, gender, size and location of the aneurysm, hypertension, smoking, and alcoholism. Whether seasonal or meteorological factors influence the likelihood of aneurysm rupture is controversial. An observational, retrospective, cross-sectional and non-comparative study of male and female patients over 18 years old who were admitted to our unit in northeast Mexico with the diagnosis of spontaneous SAH due to aneurysmal rupture from January 2014 to March 2020. Climate information was obtained from data of the climate history of the different airport stations in the northeast of the country and the information was correlated to determine if meteorological variables interfere in the incidence of SAH due to aneurysm rupture. Our study showed a significant seasonal fluctuation on the occurrence of aneurysmal SAH. A statistically significant relationship between temperature, humidity and aneurismal SAH. The atmospheric pressure did not show a statistically significant relationship with SAH incidence due to aneurysm rupture.
The supply of drinking water to the population is an important challenge facing humanity, since both surface and underground sources present a great variability of water storage with respect to space and time. This problem is further aggravated in arid and semi-arid areas where rainfall is low and torrential, which makes groundwater the main source of supply; therefore, it is necessary to carry out studies that allow evaluating the evolution of the quantity and quality of water. This study addresses the behavior of groundwater in a semi-arid region, considering the theory of flow systems to identify movement as well as water quality, es determined by a water quality index (WQI), calculated considering arsenic and fluorine. In addition, a quality irrigation classification is used, employing the norms in accordance with international standards and the Mexican Norm, which allows for a comparison. Local, regional, intermediate and mixed flow systems are identified, and the evolution of cations and anions in addition to temperature is examined. It is observed that the drinking water quality index classifies them as excellent in most of the monitored wells (<50), but with a negative evolution. Regarding irrigation, most of the water samples are classified without restriction for the establishment of any type II crop (C(2)S(1)) and with restrictions for horticultural crops. It is observed that arsenic had values between 0.49 and 61.40 (µg/L) in 2005, while in 2015 they were between 0.10 and 241.30 (µg/L). In addition, fluoride presented values between 0.00 and 2.6 (mg/L) in 2005, while in 2015 they were between 0.28 and 5.40 (mg/L). The correlations between arsenic and fluorine are noted as well as WQI and SAR. A finding in this research was to include arsenic and fluorine in the calculation of the WQI allowing a better interpretation of the quality of water for both human consumption and for agricultural use to based on this make the best decision to control any harmful effects for the population, in addition to identifying the appropriate purification treatment required to control pollutants. It is concluded that arsenic is an element of utmost importance when considering water quality, so it is necessary to examine its evolution and continue to monitor its levels constantly.
Climate change adaptation is an increasingly important topic addressed in the face of the current and expected future impacts by climate change that the social, economic and ecological systems are experiencing worldwide. Despite the advances reported in the literature, adaptation to climate change is still considered a challenge to move from planning to the practical implementation of successful interventions. In this regard, identifying international key barriers, exchanges of experiences and lessons learned may facilitate the progress of the coasts’ sustainable and resilient future. The coast of Mexico is an excellent study area. High population densities occur along the coastal zone, whose main economic activity is related to primary and tertiary sectors. Additionally, a great diversity of coastal ecosystems exists, which are threatened by anthropogenic and hydrometeorological impacts. Under these circumstances, the population is becoming aware of the urgent need to adapt to the consequences of climate change. In this sense, this paper reviews research contributions concerning population perception to climate change and adaptation strategies in Mexico’s coastal zone. The findings highlight critical institutional difficulties and social barriers that have impeded the effective implementation of adaptation strategies to climate change in Mexico and consider steps to address them. However, adaptation strategies that show the prevention culture of some coastal communities have been found and also results of successful projects carried out, especially on mangrove forest and coral reef restoration, which are of essential importance to consider to progress on the path of a successful adaptation to climate change in Mexico.
Rising global temperatures and seawater temperatures have led to an increase in extreme weather patterns leading to droughts and floods. These natural phenomena, in turn, affect the supply of drinking water in some communities, which causes an increase in the prevalence of diseases related to the supply of drinking water. The objective of this work is to demonstrate the effects of global warming on human health in the population of Monterrey, Mexico after Hurricane Alex. We interpolated data using statistical downscaling of climate projection data for 2050 and 2080 and correlated it with disease occurrence. We found a remarkable rise in the incidence of transmissible infectious disease symptoms. Gastrointestinal symptoms predominated and were associated with drinking of contaminated water like tap water or water from communal mobile water tanks, probably because of the contamination of clean water, the disruption of water sanitation, and the inability to maintain home hygiene practices.
We examine the impact of temperature on mortality in Mexico using daily data over the period 1998-2017 and find that 3.8 percent of deaths in Mexico are caused by suboptimal temperature (26,000 every year). However, 92 percent of weather-related deaths are induced by cold (<12 degrees C) or mildly cold (12-20 degrees C) days and only 2 percent by outstandingly hot days (>32 degrees C). Furthermore, temperatures are twice as likely to kill people in the bottom half of the income distribution. Finally, we show causal evidence that the Seguro Popular, a universal health care policy, has saved at least 1,600 lives per year from cold weather since 2004.
BACKGROUND: Climate variability influences the population dynamics of the Aedes aegypti mosquito that transmits the viruses that cause dengue, chikungunya and Zika. In recent years these diseases have grown considerably. Dengue is now the fastest-growing mosquito-transmitted disease worldwide, putting 40 per cent of the global population at risk. With no effective antiviral treatments or vaccines widely available, controlling mosquito population remains one of the most effective ways to prevent epidemics. This paper analyses the temporal and spatial dynamics of dengue in Mexico during 2000-2020 and that of chikungunya and Zika since they first appeared in the country in 2014 and 2015, respectively. This study aims to evaluate how seasonal climatological variability affects the potential risk of transmission of these mosquito-borne diseases. Mexico is among the world’s most endemic countries in terms of dengue. Given its high incidence of other mosquito-borne diseases and its size and wide range of climates, it is a good case study. METHODS: We estimate the recently proposed mosquito-borne viral suitability index P, which measures the transmission potential of mosquito-borne pathogens. This index mathematically models how humidity, temperature and precipitation affect the number of new infections generated by a single infected adult female mosquito in a host population. We estimate this suitability index across all Mexico, at small-area level, on a daily basis during 2000-2020. RESULTS: We find that the index P predicted risk transmission is strongly correlated with the areas and seasons with a high incidence of dengue within the country. This correlation is also high enough for chikungunya and Zika in Mexico. We also show the index P is sensitive to seasonal climatological variability, including extreme weather shocks. CONCLUSIONS: The paper shows the dynamics of dengue, chikungunya and Zika in Mexico are strongly associated with seasonal climatological variability and the index P. This potential risk of transmission index, therefore, is a valuable tool for surveillance for mosquito-borne diseases, particularly in settings with varied climates and limited entomological capacity.
Urban floods can be contaminated with fecal material and pathogens. Evidence on infection risks associated with exposure to waterborne pathogens in urban floods is lacking. We address this gap by assessing the risk of infection from exposure to Giardia lamblia in urban flood water samples in Mexico City using a QMRA. Historical flood data was used to build severity indices and to test for correlations with risk of infection estimates. Results indicate similar maximal pathogen densities in urban flood water samples to those from wastewater treatment plants. Significant positive correlations between risk of G. lamblia infection and severity indices suggest that floods could act as an important source of pathogen transmission in Mexico City. Risk of infection to G. lamblia is greater in the city’s periphery, which is characterized by high marginalization levels. We argue that these risks should be managed by engaging citizens, water, and health authorities in decision making.
Dengue is one of the major health problems in the state of Chiapas. Consequently, spatial information on the distribution of the disease can optimize directed control strategies. Therefore, this study aimed to develop and validate a simple Bayesian prediction spatial model for the state of Chiapas, Mexico. This is an ecological study that uses data from a range of sources. Dengue cases occurred from January to August 2019. The data analysis used the spatial correlation of dengue cases (DCs), which was calculated with the Moran index statistic, and a generalized linear spatial model (GLSM) within a Bayesian framework, which was considered to model the spatial distribution of DCs in the state of Chiapas. We selected the climatological, geographic, and sociodemographic variables related to the study area. A prediction of the model on Chiapas maps was carried out based on the places where the cases were registered. We find a spatial correlation of 0.115 (p value=0.001)between neighboring municipalities using the Moran index. The variables that have an effect on the number of confirmed cases of dengue are the maximum temperature (Coef=0.110; 95% CrI: 0.076 – 0.215), rainfall (Coef=0.013; 95% CrI:0.008 – 0.028), and altitude (Coef=0.00045; 95% CrI:0.00002 – 0.00174) of each municipality. The predicting power is notably better in regions that have a greater number of municipalities where DCs are registered. The model shows the importance of considering these variables to prevent future DCs in vulnerable areas.
ABSTRACT: Consumption of seeds has increased in recent years due to their high nutrient content. However, Salmonella outbreaks associated with the consumption of low-water-activity food items have also increased, although these food items do not support microbial growth. The main goal of this study was to quantify microbial indicators and to determine the prevalence and content of Salmonella in chia, amaranth, and sesame seeds obtained from Mexican retail outlets. In addition, the behavior of this pathogen on seeds was evaluated. One hundred samples of each product (chia, amaranth, and sesame seeds) were collected from Queretaro City markets. Aerobic plate count, coliforms, and Escherichia coli bacteria were quantified, and the presence and number of Salmonella pathogens were also determined. Chia, amaranth, and sesame seeds (1 kg each) were inoculated with a cocktail of five Salmonella strains (∼6 log CFU mL-1) and stored at ambient temperature, and then populations of Salmonella were quantified. The median aerobic plate count contents in chia, amaranth, and sesame seeds were 2.1, 2.4, and 3.8 log CFU g-1, respectively, and the content of coliforms on the seeds ranged from 0.48 to 0.56 log most probable number (MPN) per g. E. coli was present at low concentrations in the three types of seeds. Salmonella was detected in chia (31%), amaranth (15%), and sesame (12%) seeds, and the population ranged from 0.48 to 0.56 log MPN g-1. Salmonella levels decreased through 240 days of storage, showing inactivation rates of 0.017, 0.011, and 0.016 log CFU h-1 in chia, amaranth, and sesame seeds, respectively. The high prevalence of Salmonella in the seeds highlights potential risks for consumers, particularly given that seeds are generally consumed without treatments guaranteeing pathogen inactivation.
Currently, Salmonella spp. is the bacterium causing the highest number of food-borne diseases (FADs) in the world. It is primarily associated with contaminated water used to that irrigates crops from intensive livestock farming. However, literature emphasizes that the reservoirs for Salmonella spp. remain in wildlife and there are unconventional sources or secondary reservoirs, such as soil. Human soil-borne diseases have not been modeled in spatial scenarios, and therefore it is necessary to consider soil and other climatic factors to anticipate the emergence of new strains or serotypes with potential threat to public and animal health. The objective of this research was to investigate whether edaphic and climatic factors are associated with the occurrence and prevalence of Salmonella spp. in Northwestern Mexico. We estimated the potential distribution of Salmonella spp. with an interpolation method of unsampled kriging areas for 15 environmental variables, considering that these factors have a seasonal dynamic of change during the year and modifications in longer periods. Subsequently, a database was generated with human salmonellosis cases reported in the epidemiological bulletins of the National System of Epidemiological Surveillance (SIVE). For the Northwest region, there were 30,595 human cases of paratyphoid and other salmonellosis reported have been reported in Baja California state, 71,462 in Chihuahua, and 16,247 in Sonora from 2002 to 2019. The highest prevalence was identified in areas with higher temperatures between 35 and 37 °C, and precipitation greater than 1000 mm. The edaphic variables limited the prevalence and geographical distribution of Salmonella spp., because the region is characterized by presenting a low percentage of organic matter (≤4.3), and most of the territory is classified as aridic and xeric, which implies that the humidity comprises ≤ 180 days a year. Finally, the seasonal time series indicated that in the states of Baja California and Chihuahua the rainy quarter of the year is 18.7% and 17.01% above a typical quarter respectively, while for Sonora the warmest quarter is 23.3%. It is necessary to deepen the relationship between different soil characteristics and climate elements such as temperature and precipitation, which influence the distribution of different soil-transmitted diseases.
Environmental changes triggered by deforestation, urban expansion and climate change are present-day drivers of the emergence and reemergence of leishmaniasis. This review describes the current epidemiological scenario and the feasible influence of environmental changes on disease occurrence in the state of Yucatan, Mexico. Relevant literature was accessed through different databases, including PubMed, Scopus, Google, and Mexican official morbidity databases. Recent LCL autochthonous cases, potential vector sandflies and mammal hosts/reservoirs also have been reported in several localities of Yucatan without previous historical records of the disease. The impact of deforestation, urban expansion and projections on climate change have been documented. The current evidence of the relationships between the components of the transmission cycle, the disease occurrence, and the environmental changes on the leishmaniasis emergence in the state shows the need for strength and an update to the intervention and control strategies through a One Health perspective.
The negative synergistic effects of air pollution and sensible heat on public health have been noted in numerous studies. While separate, simplified, and public-facing indices have been developed to communicate the risks of unhealthful levels of air pollution and extreme heat, a combined index containing elements of both has rarely been investigated. Utilizing air quality, meteorology, and mortality data in Monterrey, Mexico, we investigated whether the association between the air quality index (AQI) and mortality was improved by considering elements of the heat index (HI). We created combined indices featuring additive, multiplicative, and either/or formulations and evaluated their relationship to mortality. Results showed increased associations with mortality for models employing indices that combined the AQI and the HI in an additive or multiplicative manner, with increases in the interquartile relative risk of 3-5% over that resulting from models employing the AQI alone.
Mexico is expected to become the 6th largest economy in 2050. According to EDGAR database, in 2019 it was the largest polluting country in Latin America and the 13th in the world, regarding Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions. Lately, the new Administration has shifted its energy strategy from a renewable path into the reinforcement of conventional energy sources. In this context, new policies have to be deployed to meet the Paris Agreement goals. In such scenario, carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology may contribute reducing CO2 emissions as a way to transform Mexico into a low-carbon economy in the long term. However, the construction and operation and maintenance phases will embody environmental impacts that should be considered. This paper assesses the carbon capture investments required for the expected increasing capacity of natural gas power plants up to 2050 and their impact on production, value added, employment, climate change, acidification, water consumption and human health effects. An environmentally extended multi-regional the input-output analysis (EMRIO) is used to address Mexican policies for the period 2020-2050. Results show that the investment in capture technologies in Mexico allows a net reduction of the carbon emissions in Mexico that is pursued at a low cost (33 EUR/tCO(2)). This mitigation policy has important additional co-benefits in terms of domestic value added and employment creation of medium and high qualification. As for the environmental impacts, most of them are produced in the power plant due to the burning of the natural gas consumed.
