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Maternal and child health care service disruptions and recovery in Mozambique after Cyclone Idai: An uncontrolled interrupted time series analysis

INTRODUCTION: Climate change-related extreme weather events have increased in frequency and intensity, threatening people’s health, particularly in places with weak health systems. In March 2019, Cyclone Idai devastated Mozambique’s central region, causing infrastructure destruction, population displacement, and death. We assessed the impact of Idai on maternal and child health services and recovery in the Sofala and Manica provinces. METHODS: Using monthly district-level routine data from November 2016 to March 2020, we performed an uncontrolled interrupted time series analysis to assess changes in 10 maternal and child health indicators in all 25 districts before and after Idai. We applied a Bayesian hierarchical negative binomial model with district-level random intercepts and slopes to estimate Idai-related service disruptions and recovery. RESULTS: Of the 4.44 million people in Sofala and Manica, 1.83 (41.2%) million were affected. Buzi, Nhamatanda, and Dondo (all in Sofala province) had the highest proportion of people affected. After Idai, all 10 indicators showed an abrupt substantial decrease. First antenatal care visits per 100,000 women of reproductive age decreased by 23% (95% confidence interval [CI]=0.62, 0.96) in March and 11% (95% CI=0.75, 1.07) in April. BCG vaccinations per 1,000 children under age 5 years declined by 21% (95% CI=0.69, 0.90) and measles vaccinations decreased by 25% (95% CI=0.64, 0.87) in March and remained similar in April. Within 3 months post-cyclone, almost all districts recovered to pre-Idai levels, including Buzi, which showed a 22% and 13% relative increase in the number of first antenatal care visits and BCG, respectively. CONCLUSION: We found substantial health service disruptions immediately after Idai, with greater impact in the most affected districts. The findings suggest impressive recovery post-Idai, emphasizing the need to build resilient health systems to ensure quality health care during and after natural disasters.

First activation of the who emergency medical team minimum data set in the 2019 response to tropical Cyclone Idai in Mozambique

INTRODUCTION: During a disaster, comprehensive, accurate, timely, and standardized health data collection is needed to improve patient care and support effective responses. In 2017, the World Health Organization (WHO) developed the Emergency Medical Team (EMT) Minimum Data Set (MDS) as an international standard for data collection in the context of disasters and public health emergencies. The EMT MDS was formally activated for the first time in 2019 during the response to Cyclone Idai in Mozambique. STUDY OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to analyze data collected through the EMT MDS during Cyclone Idai of 2019 and to identify the benefits of and opportunities for its future use. METHODS: The EMT MDS was used for data collection. All 13 international EMTs deployed from March 27 through July 12 reported data in accordance with the EMT MDS form. The collected data were analyzed descriptively. RESULTS: A total of 18,468 consultations, including delivery of 94 live births, were recorded. For children under-five and those five-years and older, the top five reasons for consultation were minor injuries (4.5% and 10.8%, respectively), acute respiratory infections ([ARI] 12.6% and 4.8%, respectively), acute watery diarrhea (18.7% and 7.7%, respectively), malaria (9.2% and 6.1%, respectively), and skin diseases (5.1% and 3.1%, respectively). Non-disaster-related health events accounted for 84.7% of the total health problems recorded. Obstetric care was among the core services provided by EMTs during the response. CONCLUSION: Despite of challenges, the EMT MDS reporting system was found to support the responses and coordination of EMTs. The role of the Mozambican Ministry of Health (MOH), its cooperation with EMTs, and the dedicated technical support of international organizations enabled its successful implementation.

Italian field hospital experience in Mozambique: Report of ordinary activities in an extraordinary context

On March 15, 2019, Cyclone Idai made landfall near the port city of Beira in central Mozambique causing significant casualties and serious damage to infrastructure. The Emergency Medical Team Type 2 – Italy Regione Piemonte (EMT2-ITA) was deployed approximately two weeks after the disaster to support the country in need, providing essential medical and surgical care.The EMT2-ITA staff was composed of 77 team members including two rotations and integrating local staff. A total of 1,121 patients (1,183 triage admissions) were treated during the 27 days of field hospital activity; among all the admissions, only few cases (17; 1%) were directly or indirectly attributed to the disaster event. Only three cases of cholera were confirmed and transferred to one of the treatment centers set up in Beira. The EMT2-ITA performed a total of 62 surgical operations (orthopedic, gynecological, general, and plastic surgery), of which more than one-half were elective procedures.The objective of this manuscript is to report the mission of the EMT2-ITA in Mozambique, raising interesting points of discussion regarding the impact of timing on the mission outcomes, the operational and clinical activities in the field hospital, and the great importance to integrate local staff into the team.

Coping strategies for household food insecurity, and perceived health in an urban community in southern Mozambique: A qualitative study

In low- and middle-income countries, food insecurity (FI) is a living reality for many households, particularly among the most vulnerable groups. The burden of household FI in Mozambique and how FI and coping strategies relate to perceived health are unknown. This study investigated the lived experiences and coping strategies of food-insecure households, along with their perceived health. Altogether, 16 in-depth interviews were performed, audio-recorded, and transcribed verbatim. A qualitative content analysis was carried out and five themes emerged: lived experiences of FI, coping strategies used in situations of FI, food choices, climate change and food security, and FI and perceived health. A wide range of lived experiences and coping strategies were reported, including cooking whatever is available, skipping meals, receiving money or food from friends and relatives, eating unsafe and low-quality foods, taking on additional work, cooking least-preferred foods, and having a monotonous and less-nutritious diet. Furthermore, the participants reported emotional distress, anxiety and depression, substance use, and other negative health outcomes. Some had diagnoses of hypertension, diabetes or HIV/AIDS. The findings suggest the need for employment creation and women’s empowerment, as well as the implementation of appropriate policies and programmes to alleviate household FI.

Assessing road criticality and loss of Healthcareibility during floods: The case of Cyclone Idai, Mozambique 2019

BACKGROUND: The ability of disaster response, preparedness, and mitigation efforts to assess the loss of physical accessibility to health facilities and to identify impacted populations is key in reducing the humanitarian consequences of disasters. Recent studies use either network- or raster-based approaches to measure accessibility in respect to travel time. Our analysis compares a raster- and a network- based approach that both build on open data with respect to their ability to assess the loss of accessibility due to a severe flood event. As our analysis uses open access data, the approach should be transferable to other flood-prone sites to support decision-makers in the preparation of disaster mitigation and preparedness plans. METHODS: Our study is based on the flood events following Cyclone Idai in Mozambique in 2019 and uses both raster- and network-based approaches to compare accessibility to health sites under normal conditions to the aftermath of the cyclone to assess the loss of accessibility. Part of the assessment is a modified centrality indicator, which identifies the specific use of the road network for the population to reach health facilities. RESULTS: Results for the raster- and the network-based approaches differed by about 300,000 inhabitants (~ 800,000 to ~ 500,000) losing accessibility to healthcare sites. The discrepancy was related to the incomplete mapping of road networks and affected the network-based approach to a higher degree. The modified centrality indicator allowed us to identify road segments that were most likely to suffer from flooding and to highlight potential backup roads in disaster settings. CONCLUSIONS: The different results obtained between the raster- and network-based methods indicate the importance of data quality assessments in addition to accessibility assessments as well as the importance of fostering mapping campaigns in large parts of the Global South. Data quality is therefore a key parameter when deciding which method is best suited for local conditions. Another important aspect is the required spatial resolution of the results. Identification of critical segments of the road network provides essential information to prepare for potential disasters.

The urban metabolism of waterborne diseases: Variegated citizenship, (waste)water flows, and climatic variability in Maputo, Mozambique

In this article we draw on an interdisciplinary study on drinking water quality in Maputo, the capital of Mozambique, to examine the nature, scale, and politics of waterborne diseases. We show how water contamination and related diseases are discursively framed as household risks, thereby concealing the politics of uneven exposure to contaminated water and placing the burden of being healthy on individuals. In contrast, we propose that uneven geographies of waterborne diseases are best understood as the product of Maputo’s urban metabolism, in which attempts at being sanitary and healthy are caught up in relations of power, class, and variegated citizenship. Waterborne diseases are the result of complex and fragmented circulations and intersections of (waste)waters, generated by uneven urban development, heterogeneous infrastructure configurations, and everyday practices to cope with basic service deficits, in conjunction with increasing climatic variability. The latrine-from which ultimately contamination and diseases spread-is an outcome of these processes, rather than the site to be blamed. This article also advances an interdisciplinary framework for analyzing urban metabolism and deepening its explanatory potential. It serves as a demonstration of how interdisciplinary approaches might be taken forward to generate new readings of more-than-human metabolic processes at distinct temporal and spatial scales.

Interannual climate variability and malaria in Mozambique

Malaria is among the greatest public health threats in Mozambique, with over 10 million cases reported annually since 2018. Although the relationship between seasonal trends in environmental parameters and malaria cases is well established, the role of climate in deviations from the annual cycle is less clear. To investigate this and the potential for leveraging inter-annual climate variability to predict malaria outbreaks, weekly district-level malaria incidence spanning 2010-2017 were processed for a cross-analysis with climate data. An empirical orthogonal function analysis of district-level malaria incidence revealed two dominant spatiotemporal modes that collectively account for 81% of the inter-annual variability of malaria: a mode dominated by variance over the southern half of Mozambique (64%), and another dominated by variance in the northern third of the country (17%). These modes of malaria variability are shown to be closely related to precipitation. Linear regression of global sea surface temperatures onto local precipitation indices over these variance maxima links the leading mode of inter-annual malarial variability to the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, such that La Nina leads to wetter conditions over southern Mozambique and, therefore, higher malaria prevalence. Similar analysis of spatiotemporal patterns of precipitation over a longer time period (1979-2019) indicate that the Subtropical Indian Ocean Dipole is both a strong predictor of regional precipitation and the climatic mechanism underlying the second mode of malarial variability. These results suggest that skillful malaria early warning systems may be developed that leverage quasi-predictable modes of inter-annual climate variability in the tropical oceans. Plain Language Summary Malaria is one of the main public health concerns in Mozambique, with millions of reported cases in the country each year. While malaria has been tied to monthly swings in rainfall and temperature, its relationship to year-to-year changes of the climate is less well known. We identified regions where local malaria cases varied together and found two main patterns: a main hotspot over the southern half of Mozambique, and a second hotspot over the northern third of the country. Rainfall drives both of these hotspots. We then tied these patterns to two natural climate phenomena, the El Nino-Southern Oscillation and the Subtropical Indian Ocean Dipole, both of which impact the climate of the region and help drive malaria prevalence. Our results suggest that it may be possible to take advantage of the predictability of these climate phenomena to improve public health planning both in Mozambique and more broadly.

Ideational factors and their association with insecticide treated net use in Magoe District, Mozambique

Background: Insecticide treated bed nets (ITN) are considered a core malaria vector control tool by the WHO and are the main contributor to the large decline in malaria burden in sub-Saharan Africa over the past 20 years, but they are less effective if they are not broadly and regularly used. ITN use may depend on factors including temperature, relative humidity, mosquito density, seasonality, as well as ideational or psychosocial factors including perceptions of nets and perceptions of net use behaviours.Methods: A cross-sectional household survey was conducted as part of a planned randomized controlled trial in Magoe District, Mozambique. Interviewers captured data on general malaria and ITN perceptions including ideational factors related to perceived ITN response efficacy, self-efficacy to use an ITN, and community norms around ITN using a standardized questionnaire. Only households with sufficient ITNs present for all children to sleep under (at least one ITN for every two children under the age of five years) were eligible for inclusion in the study. Additional questions were added about seasonality and frequency of ITN use.Results: One-thousand six hundred sixteen mother-child dyads were interviewed. Responses indicated gaps in use of existing nets and net use was largely independent of ideational factors related to ITNs. Self-reported ITN use varied little by season nor meaningfully when different methods were used to solicit responses on net use behaviour. Mothers’ perceived response efficacy of ITNS was negatively associated with net use (high perceived response efficacy reduced the log-odds of net use by 0.27 (95% CI – 0.04 to – 0.51), implying that stronger beliefs in the effectiveness of ITNs might result in reduced net use among their children.Conclusions: In this context, ITN use among children was not clearly related to mothers’ ideational factors measured in the study. Scales used in solicitation of ideation around ITN use and beliefs need careful design and testing across a broader range of populations in order to identify ideational factors related to ITN use among those with access.

Mozambique Country Climate and Development Report

Preventing climate-driven outbreaks of malaria through scalable and cost effective Seasonal Malaria Chemoprevention programs in Africa

Human Climate Horizons (HCH)

Natural disasters, population displacement and health emergencies: Multiple public health threats in Mozambique

In early 2019, following the 2015-2016 severe drought, the provinces of Sofala and Cabo Delgado, Mozambique, were hit by Cyclones Idai and Kenneth, respectively. These were the deadliest and most destructive cyclones in the country’s history. Currently, these two provinces host tens of thousands of vulnerable households due to the climatic catastrophes and the massive influx of displaced people associated with violent terrorist attacks plaguing Cabo Delgado. The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic added a new challenge to this already critical scenario, serving as a real test for Mozambique’s public health preparedness. On the planetary level, Mozambique can be viewed as a ‘canary in the coal mine’, harbingering to the world the synergistic effects of co-occurring anthropogenic and natural disasters. Herein, we discuss how the COVID-19 pandemic has accentuated the need for an effective and comprehensive public health response in a country already deeply impacted by health problems associated with natural disasters and population displacement.

Modelling geographical accessibility to support disaster response and rehabilitation of a healthcare system: An impact analysis of cyclones Idai and Kenneth in Mozambique

OBJECTIVES: Modelling and assessing the loss of geographical accessibility is key to support disaster response and rehabilitation of the healthcare system. The aim of this study was therefore to estimate postdisaster travel times to functional health facilities and analyse losses in accessibility coverage after Cyclones Idai and Kenneth in Mozambique in 2019. SETTING: We modelled travel time of vulnerable population to the nearest functional health facility in two cyclone-affected regions in Mozambique. Modelling was done using AccessMod V.5.6.30, where roads, rivers, lakes, flood extent, topography and land cover datasets were overlaid with health facility coordinates and high-resolution population data to obtain accessibility coverage estimates under different travel scenarios. OUTCOME MEASURES: Travel time to functional health facilities and accessibility coverage estimates were used to identify spatial differences between predisaster and postdisaster geographical accessibility. RESULTS: We found that accessibility coverage decreased in the cyclone-affected districts, as a result of reduced travel speeds, barriers to movement, road constraints and non-functional health facilities. In Idai-affected districts, accessibility coverage decreased from 78.8% to 52.5%, implying that 136?941 children under 5 years of age were no longer able to reach the nearest facility within 2?hours travel time. In Kenneth-affected districts, accessibility coverage decreased from 82.2% to 71.5%, corresponding to 14?330 children under 5 years of age having to travel >2?hours to reach the nearest facility. Damage to transport networks and reduced travel speeds resulted in the most substantial accessibility coverage losses in both Idai-affected and Kenneth-affected districts. CONCLUSIONS: Postdisaster accessibility modelling can increase our understanding of spatial differences in geographical access to care in the direct aftermath of a disaster and can inform targeting and prioritisation of limited resources. Our results reflect opportunities for integrating accessibility modelling in early disaster response, and to inform discussions on health system recovery, mitigation and preparedness.

Shifting Risks of Malaria in Southern Africa: A Regional Analysis

Place-specific factors associated with adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes in Southern Mozambique: A retrospective cohort study

Climate change impacts on the distribution of venomous snakes and snakebite risk in Mozambique

Association between precipitation and diarrheal disease in Mozambique

Malaria mortality characterization and the relationship between malaria mortality and climate in Chimoio, Mozambique

Air pollution-related health and climate benefits of clean cookstove programs in Mozambique

Triggering of stroke by ambient temperature variation: a case-crossover study in Maputo, Mozambique

The effect of season and temperature variation on hospital admissions for incident stroke events in Maputo, Mozambique

Why analyze mental models of local climate change? A case from southern Mozambique

Mainstreaming climate adaptation into development assistance: Rationale, institutional barriers and opportunities in Mozambique

Effective livelihood adaptation to climate change disturbance: Scale dimensions of practice in Mozambique

Flash Flood Guidance System with Global Coverage (FFGS)